NBA Draft……. by Analyst Reid Forgrave

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1. Cleveland: Andrew Wiggins, SG/Kansas – This pick could be a home run but could never be a total whiff. The question is whether Wiggins develops more offensive moves and whether he learns a killer instinct; he already has what it takes to be an elite perimeter defender. He’ll come into the league as one of the NBA’s best athletes. A great pick by the Cavs, and a pretty safe pick too. – Reid Forgrave

2. Milwaukee: Jabari Parker, SF/Duke – Ladies and gentlemen, meet your 2014-15 Rookie of the Year. He’s NBA-ready, the best scorer in this draft, with the best offensive IQ, according to scouts. This was the most obvious pick in the entire draft — the Bucks were going to get whomever the Cavs didn’t take. – Reid Forgrave

3. Philadelphia: Joel Embiid, C/Kansas – Even before the foot injury a week before the draft, Embiid was always the gambler’s pick. He could become the next Hakeem Olajuwon; he could become the next Sam Bowie. The risk here is ameliorated by the fact the Sixers have the 10th pick in this deep draft. – Reid Forgrave

4. Orlando: Aaron Gordon, PF/Arizona – This is a shocking pick so high … but I love it. So much upside. There’s a question mark with every elite talent in this draft, and Gordon’s is whether he can be an NBA-level scorer. He is a freak athlete, though, someone who won’t score 25 a game but who will do all the little things. Huge upside. – Reid Forgrave

5. Utah: Dante Exum, PG/Australia – It was hard for the Jazz to pass up Exum’s workout-wowing talents despite the fact he’s been hiding in Australia and has avoided elite competition. Scouts say he could become a Russell Westbrook type. Not a huge fan of this pick. What will it mean for Trey Burke? – Reid Forgrave

6. Boston: Marcus Smart, PG/Oklahoma State – Sure, there are concerns with Smart: the streaky shooting, the sloppy ballhandling, the question of whether he can be a true point guard. Advanced stats aficionados love Smart, and his intangibles – leadership abilities, competitive fire – are off the charts. I love this kid, but his selection will reignite Rajon Rondo trade rumors. – Reid Forgrave

7. Los Angeles Lakers: Julius Randle, PF/Kentucky – Randle’s game has some holes – namely, always going to his left – but he’s an absolute bulldog in the post. He’s an NBA body with a huge ceiling, one whose lingering foot issue kept him from going higher. — Reid Forgrave

8. Sacramento: Nik Stauskas, SG/Michigan – I don’t like this pick — not because of Stauskas but because of the fit. How is he going to get any shots on this team? Stauskas is the best pure shooter in this draft not named McDermott. He has gotten better every year since high school and turned from a spot-up shooter his freshman year into someone who could put the ball on the floor as a sophomore. A really good player, but I worry about him heading to Sacramento. — Reid Forgrave

9. Charlotte (from Detroit): Noah Vonleh, PF/Indiana – He’s an NBA body with all the NBA power forward skills: shot blocking, running the floor, scoring inside, rebounding, shooting threes. Could be a star and forms a formidable inside tandem with Al Jefferson. – Reid Forgrave

10. Philadelphia (from New Orleans): Elfrid Payton, PG/Louisana Lafayette – Payton is one of the few true point guards in this draft and one of the best perimeter defenders on the board. No one moved up draft boards in the past month faster than Payton. He’s an excellent leader and game manager. The problem: He made only 26 percent of his three-pointers last season. – Reid Forgrave

11. Denver: Doug McDermott, SF/Creighton – McDermott can come into the league tomorrow and be one of the NBA’s top three-point shooters. One talent evaluator told me he is the safest bet in a draft that doesn’t have many sure things. The question is whether McDermott can defend NBA small forwards. Shocked he lasted this late. Great pick by the Nuggets. – Reid Forgrave

12. Orlando (from New York): Dario Saric, PF/Croatia – After signing a three-year deal with a team in Turkey days before the draft, Saric – who had been a likely lottery pick – dropped on draft boards. Saric will be stashed in Turkey for a couple years. One international scouting expert told me Saric could fill a similar point forward position to the one Hedo Turkoglu played with the Magic team that went to the NBA Finals. – Reid Forgrave

13. Minnesota: Zach LaVine, PG/UCLA – Here’s what one NBA scout told me about LaVine: “The word ‘potential’ might have been invented for him. He’s got tremendous potential, but he’s not got a great feel, and he doesn’t understand how to play the game yet.” He’s the type of guy you’re not sure you want but you can’t pass up. Consider him a project with huge upside who is going to a team that needs his high-level athleticism. – Reid Forgrave

14. Phoenix: T.J. Warren, SF/North Carolina State – One of the best pure scorers in this draft. Warren isn’t a phenomenal athlete, and he isn’t a great shooter. He simply finds ways to get to the rim. – Reid Forgrave

15. Atlanta: Adreian Payne, PF/Michigan State – I like Payne as a versatile NBA big man. He’s a 6-foot-10 guy who can play in the paint and shoot the three. A Big Ten coach told me Payne could be a version of LaMarcus Aldridge. With Al Horford coming back from injury, watch out for the Hawks up front. – Reid Forgrave

16. Chicago (from Charlotte): Jusuf Nurkic, C/Bosnia – This big center – some would say too big – has some serious Euro-skills. One international scouting expert told me his potential is Nikola Pekovic – and that he’s much more versatile than Pek was at age 19. Because of a reported trade, he’ll be heading to Denver – or more likely staying overseas until the Nuggets need him in the future. – Reid Forgrave

17. Boston (from Brooklyn): James Young, SF/Kentucky – Young is an explosive driver, excellent shooter and dynamite athlete. He has a lot of upside and is a steal at No. 17. One coach who has known Young since eighth grade told me he could become a poor man’s Ray Allen. That should sound pretty good to Celtics fans. – Reid Forgrave

18. Phoenix (from Washington): Tyler Ennis, PG/Syracuse – Two general managers told FOX Sports 1 that a team would reach too high for the young point guard, and this seems like an example of that happening. Yes, Ennis is one of the best game managers in this draft, with a 3.2 assist-to-turnover ratio in his one season at Syracuse. But another year at Syracuse would have helped Ennis’ development. – Reid Forgrave

19. Chicago: Gary Harris, SG/Michigan State – Most mock drafts, including mine, had Harris going higher. He’s a two-way wing who can shoot and flat-out guard the perimeter. Some consider him a tweener in the NBA, and he’ll reportedly be heading to Denver in a trade. – Reid Forgrave

20. Toronto: Bruno Caboclo, SF/Brazil – With Shabazz Napier on the board and point guard Kyle Lowry possibly leaving Toronto as a free agent, the Raptors reached for a player who wasn’t considered a first-round pick. Caboclo feels like a project when something more immediate may have been needed for a team that had just made it back to a playoff level. – Reid Forgrave

21. Oklahoma City (from Dallas): Mitch McGary, PF/Michigan – McGary would have been a lottery pick if he’d come out a year ago. Then he had an injury-shortened sophomore season. At this point in the draft, he’s a solid gamble for a top-tier playoff team like the Thunder. And he’s definitely a gamble: A Big Ten coach raved to me about his size, motor and work ethic but worried about that troublesome back. – Reid Forgrave

22. Memphis: Jordan Adams, SG/UCLA – He is a straight-up scorer. Adams is not the world’s best athlete but has one of the highest basketball IQs in the draft. This is a team that needs a scorer, and he’s a scorer. – Reid Forgrave

23. Utah (from Golden State): Rodney Hood, SG/Duke – Hood is a great scorer, inside and out. He took his redshirt season after transferring to Duke and improved his game exponentially. He’s a very mature player and person. How he handled his redshirt season speaks volumes about how he’ll handle inevitable bumps in the NBA road. He’s a great athlete who can come in and contribute immediately. – Reid Forgrave

24. Charlotte (from Portland): Shabazz Napier, PG/UConn – Napier is an absolute steal, especially this late. Said one college source whose team played UConn, “Someone will draft him and look like a genius.” He can shoot, pass, rebound and defend. One NBA insider told me Napier will be a star because he can play in space. “His ability to change direction and to step off his guy – in the space he creates, he’s allowing himself some comfort to survey the court. … He (passes) to the right guy at the right time.” – Reid Forgrave

25. Houston: Clint Capela, PF/Switzerland – Some think he could be one of the big sleepers in this draft. He’s big and a wonderful athlete but a project. What an athletic team the Rockets will be. – Reid Forgrave

26. Miami: P.J. Hairston, SG/North Carolina – I loved what I saw from Hairston at the draft combine. He looked the part. He shoots the lights out. He can defend. A source said teams have voiced concerns about character issues here, which is the only reason he’d last this long. This team – he’s reportedly headed to the Hornets in a trade — needed a shooter. Good pick. – Reid Forgrave

27. Phoenix (from Indianapolis): Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG/Serbia – He’s a ballhandler at the two and an excellent three-point shooter with size. This team likes to score, and he fits that model. — Reid Forgrave

28. Los Angeles Clippers: C.J. Wilcox, SG/Washington – Wilcox is one of the best distance shooters in this draft and will be a help for a team that needs another shooter. Will help the Clips spread the floor if he gets playing time. A bit one-dimensional, but a sleeper. – Reid Forgrave

29. Oklahoma City: Josh Huestis, PF/Stanford – I thought Dwight Powell would be the first Stanford guy off the board. This is a strange pick. Huestis is an elite defender, although relatively small. He can shoot — but didn’t shoot much in college. This is an indication the draft is thinning out. – Reid Forgrave

30. San Antonio: Kyle Anderson, PF/UCLA – Anderson is one of this draft’s biggest – and most intriguing – question marks. What position will he play in the NBA? He never wows you athletically, then you look at his numbers and realize he’s the closest anyone in college basketball was to averaging a triple-double last year. A coach who has watched Anderson’s development since high school told me he needs a creative coach to succeed. Enter Gregg Popovich


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